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Primera Nacional

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Central Norte CA Estudiantes
Central Norte W L L D W D
CA Estudiantes D L D W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
CA Estudiantes Central Norte 1 - 0 April 4, 2026
CA Estudiantes Central Norte 0 - 1 June 29, 2025
Central Norte CA Estudiantes 1 - 1 February 23, 2025

Central Norte Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Home Los Andes 1 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Godoy Cruz 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away Colon Santa Fe 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Home San Miguel 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Home Godoy Cruz 1 - 0 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home San Telmo 0 - 0 Draw

CA Estudiantes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Defensores De Belgrano 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Ciudad de Bolívar 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Almirante Brown 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Home Atletico Mitre 3 - 0 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home Racing Cordoba 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away Ciudad de Bolívar 1 - 2 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
15 CA Estudiantes 23 8 8 7 20 19 +1 32
34 Central Norte 22 5 7 10 14 23 -9 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
CA Estudiantes to win
This prediction indicates that CA Estudiantes has a 43.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.40 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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