Primera Nacional logo

Primera Nacional

Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Nueva Chicago Patronato
Nueva Chicago L L L L L W
Patronato L W D L D D
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Patronato Nueva Chicago 2 - 1 May 3, 2026
Nueva Chicago Patronato 1 - 1 September 11, 2023
Patronato Nueva Chicago 0 - 0 April 30, 2023
Nueva Chicago Patronato 2 - 0 May 12, 2013
Patronato Nueva Chicago 0 - 2 November 11, 2012

Nueva Chicago Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Midland 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 26, 26 Away San Martin S.J. 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Atlanta 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 17, 26 Away All Boys 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Gimnasia Y Tiro 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home San Martin Tucuman 2 - 1 Win

Patronato Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Almagro 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 26, 26 Home Atlanta 2 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home Gimnasia Jujuy 3 - 3 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Colon Santa Fe 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Colegiales 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Quilmes 3 - 3 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
27 Nueva Chicago 27 7 8 12 20 27 -7 29
30 Patronato 27 5 13 9 23 30 -7 28

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.1% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Nueva Chicago will score 0 goals, and Patronato will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]