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Primera Nacional

Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Central Norte Defensores De Belgrano
Central Norte D D W D D W
Defensores De Belgrano W L L D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Defensores De Belgrano Central Norte 1 - 1 May 2, 2026
Defensores De Belgrano Central Norte 2 - 0 September 27, 2025
Central Norte Defensores De Belgrano 2 - 1 May 25, 2025

Central Norte Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Atletico Mitre 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 27, 26 Home Deportivo Moron 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Home CA Estudiantes 2 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 10, 26 Away All Boys 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home Los Andes 1 - 0 Win

Defensores De Belgrano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 4, 26 Home Racing Cordoba 3 - 0 Win
Aug 29, 26 Away Ciudad de Bolívar 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Almirante Brown 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Away Atletico DE Rafaela 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Away Atletico Mitre 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home CA Estudiantes 1 - 1 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
28 Central Norte 27 6 11 10 19 27 -8 29
34 Defensores De Belgrano 26 5 11 10 16 24 -8 26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.81% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Central Norte to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Central Norte has a 37.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 37.33 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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