J1 League
Match Analysis
Cerezo Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Cerezo Osaka
W
L
W
W
W
W
Tokyo Verdy
D
L
D
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka | Tokyo Verdy | 2 - 1 | June 21, 2025 |
| Tokyo Verdy | Cerezo Osaka | 1 - 0 | April 25, 2025 |
| Tokyo Verdy | Cerezo Osaka | 1 - 1 | July 6, 2024 |
| Cerezo Osaka | Tokyo Verdy | 2 - 1 | March 9, 2024 |
| Tokyo Verdy | Cerezo Osaka | 1 - 2 | November 12, 2016 |
| Cerezo Osaka | Tokyo Verdy | 1 - 0 | June 26, 2016 |
Cerezo Osaka Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Shimizu S-pulse | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Fagiano Okayama | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Tochigi City | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | FC Tokyo | 1 - 3 | Win |
Tokyo Verdy Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Fagiano Okayama | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Kawasaki Frontale | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Gamba Osaka | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Gamba Osaka | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Yokohama F. Marinos | 0 - 6 | Loss |
J1 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Cerezo Osaka to win
This prediction indicates that Cerezo Osaka has a 62.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.18 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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