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Segunda División

Sept. 5, 2026 5 days, 16 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Cerrito Paysandu
Cerrito L W D L D D
Paysandu W D L L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Paysandu Cerrito 0 - 1 May 30, 2026

Cerrito Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Sportivo Huracan 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Uruguay Montevideo 3 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 26 Home Oriental 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Colón 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Home Fenix 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Rentistas 0 - 0 Draw

Paysandu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Atenas 2 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home CA River Plate 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Sportivo Huracan 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Uruguay Montevideo 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 3, 26 Home Oriental 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Colón 2 - 3 Win

Segunda División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Cerrito 22 8 9 5 29 26 +3 33
12 Paysandu 22 7 3 12 25 29 -4 24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.92% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Cerrito to win
This prediction indicates that Cerrito has a 43.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.14 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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