Liga I
The model predicts an away win for FCSB with a 50% probability. The model sees FCSB as having better recent form compared to CFR 1907 Cluj, which is a key factor favoring the away side despite the teams being closely matched in overall quality. The market odds imply a stronger favor for the away win than the model does, as they suggest a higher likelihood of an away victory. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the match to feature more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning with the recent trend of high-scoring draws between these sides.
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FCSB | CFR 1907 Cluj | 1 - 4 | January 25, 2026 |
| CFR 1907 Cluj | FCSB | 2 - 2 | August 31, 2025 |
| FCSB | CFR 1907 Cluj | 2 - 1 | July 5, 2025 |
| CFR 1907 Cluj | FCSB | 1 - 1 | May 23, 2025 |
| FCSB | CFR 1907 Cluj | 3 - 2 | April 20, 2025 |
| FCSB | CFR 1907 Cluj | 1 - 1 | February 2, 2025 |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Corvinul Hunedoara | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Tromso | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Tromso | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Rapid | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Alashkert | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | FC Voluntari | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | FC Botosani | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Farul Constanta | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Auda | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Csikszereda | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Auda | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FCSB | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 11 |
| 13 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
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