Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Chacarita Juniors
Agropecuario
Chacarita Juniors
L
D
W
D
L
L
Agropecuario
W
D
D
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Chacarita Juniors has had the upper hand in games against Agropecuario, often in matches where scoring has been difficult for both teams. The model predicts a home win with a 37% chance, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds suggest for Chacarita. Considering the poor recent form of both teams and their similar rest levels, the model also sees a lower likelihood of many goals, expecting fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Agropecuario | Chacarita Juniors | 2 - 0 | March 15, 2026 |
| Chacarita Juniors | Agropecuario | 3 - 0 | June 14, 2025 |
| Agropecuario | Chacarita Juniors | 0 - 1 | February 11, 2025 |
| Agropecuario | Chacarita Juniors | 2 - 0 | September 7, 2024 |
| Chacarita Juniors | Agropecuario | 2 - 1 | April 21, 2024 |
| Chacarita Juniors | Agropecuario | 1 - 1 | June 4, 2022 |
Chacarita Juniors Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Tristan Suarez | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | San Martin S.J. | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Tristan Suarez | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Nueva Chicago | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Temperley | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Agropecuario Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | San Martin S.J. | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Nueva Chicago | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Temperley | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Deportivo Maipu | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | San Martin S.J. | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Almagro | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Chacarita Juniors | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 23 |
| 30 | Agropecuario | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 23 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Chacarita Juniors to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Chacarita Juniors has a 37.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.20 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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