Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United Sunday 23rd August 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

League One

Aug. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Changchun Yatai Dongguan United

Changchun Yatai L D W L W L

Dongguan United L D L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dongguan United	Changchun Yatai	1 - 3	April 18, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Suzhou Dongwu	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Home	Hebei Kungfu	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Home	Nanjing City	2 - 1	Win
Jul 17, 26	Home	Wuxi Wugou	1 - 5	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Away	Meizhou Kejia	1 - 3	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Guangxi Hengchen	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Meizhou Kejia	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Guangzhou E-Power	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Home	Wuxi Wugou	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Nantong Zhiyun	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 13, 26	Away	Ningbo Professional	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Away	Nanjing City	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Changchun Yatai	16	7	2	7	25	30	-5	23
16	Dongguan United	17	2	5	10	17	32	-15	11

This prediction indicates that Changchun Yatai has a 57.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.35 %

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