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Changchun Yatai logo Changchun Yatai
Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Heilongjiang Lava Spring logo Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Match Analysis

Changchun Yatai Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Changchun Yatai W L L D W L
Heilongjiang Lava Spring L D W L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Heilongjiang Lava Spring Changchun Yatai 2 - 3 May 9, 2026
Heilongjiang Lava Spring Changchun Yatai 1 - 1 September 30, 2020
Changchun Yatai Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2 - 1 September 12, 2020
Heilongjiang Lava Spring Changchun Yatai 4 - 1 November 2, 2019
Changchun Yatai Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1 - 1 June 29, 2019

Changchun Yatai Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Home Dongguan United 6 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away Shaanxi Union 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Suzhou Dongwu 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Home Hebei Kungfu 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Nanjing City 2 - 1 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Wuxi Wugou 1 - 5 Loss

Heilongjiang Lava Spring Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Hebei Kungfu 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Nanjing City 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Dalian Huayi 2 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Nantong Zhiyun 5 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away Guangxi Hengchen 4 - 4 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Ningbo Professional 0 - 1 Loss

League One Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Changchun Yatai 18 7 2 9 27 34 -7 23
10 Heilongjiang Lava Spring 20 4 10 6 30 38 -8 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.58% likelihood that both Changchun Yatai and Heilongjiang Lava Spring will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Changchun Yatai to win
This prediction indicates that Changchun Yatai has a 49.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.00 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League One

Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding 8 hours from now · 2 p.m. › Hebei Kungfu vs Wuxi Wugou 8 hours from now · 2:30 p.m. › Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu 9 hours from now · 3 p.m. › Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen 8 hours from now · 2:30 p.m. › Dongguan United vs Shenzhen Juniors 8 hours from now · 2:30 p.m. ›