Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen Saturday 29th August 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

League One

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Nanjing City Guangxi Hengchen

Nanjing City D D L L L W

Guangxi Hengchen L W D W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Guangxi Hengchen	Nanjing City	1 - 0	April 25, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Nantong Zhiyun	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Away	Yanbian Longding	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Changchun Yatai	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Guangzhou E-Power	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Dalian Huayi	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Dongguan United	3 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 9, 26	Away	Guangzhou E-Power	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Ningbo Professional	2 - 4	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	4 - 4	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Shaanxi Union	3 - 0	Win
Jul 5, 26	Home	Dalian Huayi	3 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Changchun Yatai	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Guangxi Hengchen	17	8	5	4	30	21	+9	29
11	Nanjing City	18	5	5	8	17	20	-3	20

This prediction indicates that Guangxi Hengchen has a 47.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.59 %

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