Changchun Yatai vs Nanjing City Saturday 25th July 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Changchun Yatai Nanjing City

Changchun Yatai W L W D L D

Nanjing City W L L W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nanjing City	Changchun Yatai	2 - 1	March 15, 2026
Nanjing City	Changchun Yatai	3 - 4	June 22, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Away	Meizhou Kejia	1 - 3	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Guangxi Hengchen	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Dalian Huayi	2 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Yanbian Longding	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Shenzhen Juniors	0 - 4	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Xi'an Ronghai	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	Dongguan United	3 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Hebei Kungfu	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Ningbo Professional	1 - 2	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Shaanxi Union	0 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Wuxi Wugou	1 - 1	Draw
May 15, 26	Away	Qingdao Red Lions	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Changchun Yatai	12	5	1	6	17	21	-4	16
11	Nanjing City	12	4	3	5	11	12	-1	15

This prediction indicates that Changchun Yatai has a 44.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.55 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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