Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia Sunday 16th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Chapecoense-sc Bahia

Chapecoense-sc D L L W L L

Bahia D D D W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bahia	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 0	July 17, 2026
Chapecoense-sc	Bahia	3 - 1	October 1, 2022
Bahia	Chapecoense-sc	0 - 1	June 14, 2022
Bahia	Chapecoense-sc	3 - 0	October 24, 2021
Chapecoense-sc	Bahia	0 - 2	July 4, 2021
Bahia	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 1	November 7, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Santos	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 23, 26	Home	Flamengo	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Bahia	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Gremio	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	Fluminense	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Home	Corinthians	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 21, 26	Away	Atletico-MG	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 17, 26	Home	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 0	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	Fluminense	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Atletico Torque	4 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Bahia	21	8	8	5	29	25	+4	32
20	Chapecoense-sc	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10

This prediction indicates that Bahia has a 45.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.80 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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