Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo Monday 24th August 2026 12:30 AM football predictions.

Serie A

Aug. 24, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Chapecoense-sc Sao Paulo

Chapecoense-sc L D L L W L

Sao Paulo L D L L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sao Paulo	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 0	March 12, 2026
Chapecoense-sc	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	October 3, 2021
Sao Paulo	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 1	June 16, 2021
Chapecoense-sc	Sao Paulo	0 - 3	November 3, 2019
Sao Paulo	Chapecoense-sc	4 - 0	July 22, 2019
Chapecoense-sc	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	December 2, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Coritiba	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Santos	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 23, 26	Home	Flamengo	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Bahia	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Gremio	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Gremio	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Away	Flamengo	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 23, 26	Home	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	remo	1 - 0	Loss
May 26, 26	Home	Boston River	2 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Botafogo	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Sao Paulo	21	7	5	9	26	25	+1	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	21	1	7	13	20	43	-23	10

This prediction indicates that Sao Paulo has a 42.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.39 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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