Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Charlotte
Atlanta United FC
Charlotte
W
W
L
D
L
L
Atlanta United FC
L
D
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC | Charlotte | 2 - 3 | July 19, 2025 |
| Charlotte | Atlanta United FC | 2 - 0 | March 1, 2025 |
| Charlotte | Atlanta United FC | 0 - 1 | August 31, 2024 |
| Atlanta United FC | Charlotte | 2 - 3 | June 2, 2024 |
| Atlanta United FC | Charlotte | 1 - 3 | May 13, 2023 |
| Charlotte | Atlanta United FC | 0 - 3 | March 11, 2023 |
Charlotte Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Home | New England Revolution | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Toronto FC | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Home | New York City FC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | FC Cincinnati | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Away | New England Revolution | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Nashville SC | 4 - 2 | Loss |
Atlanta United FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Away | Columbus Crew | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Orlando City SC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | CF Montreal | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Toronto FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 22, 26 | Home | New England Revolution | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Charlotte | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23 | +1 | 21 |
| 28 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 11 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.35% likelihood that both Charlotte and Atlanta United FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Charlotte to win
This prediction indicates that Charlotte has a 50.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.00 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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