Cheltenham vs Grimsby Saturday 05th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League Two

Cheltenham

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Grimsby

Match Analysis

Cheltenham Grimsby

Cheltenham W L L W L L

Grimsby W L W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cheltenham	Grimsby	0 - 2	January 24, 2026
Grimsby	Cheltenham	7 - 1	September 27, 2025
Cheltenham	Grimsby	1 - 1	March 1, 2025
Grimsby	Cheltenham	3 - 2	August 17, 2024
Grimsby	Cheltenham	1 - 1	April 5, 2021
Cheltenham	Grimsby	1 - 3	October 13, 2020

Cheltenham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 15, 26	Home	Rotherham	2 - 1	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	Charlton	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	Milton Keynes Dons	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Evesham United	0 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Colchester	1 - 4	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Bristol Rovers	4 - 0	Loss

Grimsby Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 15, 26	Home	Exeter City	1 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	Blackpool	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 4, 26	Home	Grimsby Borough	3 - 2	Win
Aug 1, 26	Home	Wigan	2 - 0	Win
Jul 29, 26	Away	Boston United	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 28, 26	Home	Lincoln	5 - 1	Win

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Grimsby to win

This prediction indicates that Grimsby has a 54.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.20 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Cheltenham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Grimsby Form (Last 6 Matches)

League Two Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Grimsby to win

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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