Chengdu Better City vs Beijing Guoan Sunday 26th July 2026 02:35 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Chengdu Better City Beijing Guoan

Chengdu Better City D D W W W L

Beijing Guoan W W W W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Beijing Guoan	Chengdu Better City	1 - 2	April 12, 2026
Chengdu Better City	Beijing Guoan	2 - 0	July 26, 2025
Beijing Guoan	Chengdu Better City	1 - 1	March 29, 2025
Chengdu Better City	Beijing Guoan	2 - 2	September 14, 2024
Beijing Guoan	Chengdu Better City	2 - 1	May 5, 2024
Beijing Guoan	Chengdu Better City	2 - 3	October 29, 2023

Chengdu Better City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Chongqing Tongliang Long	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Away	Qingdao Jonoon	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Sichuan Jiuniu	2 - 3	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Shanghai Zetian	0 - 4	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Shandong Luneng	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Dalian Zhixing	2 - 0	Loss

Beijing Guoan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Shandong Luneng	2 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Wuhan Three Towns	1 - 0	Win
Jun 19, 26	Away	Guangzhou E-Power	1 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Chongqing Tongliang Long	2 - 3	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Henan Jianye	1 - 2	Loss
May 19, 26	Away	Qingdao Youth Island	1 - 1	Draw

Super League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	17	13	2	2	37	16	+21	41
5	Beijing Guoan	17	7	5	5	29	23	+6	26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.75% likelihood that both Chengdu Better City and Beijing Guoan will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Chengdu Better City to win

This prediction indicates that Chengdu Better City has a 56.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.19 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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