Chertsey Town vs Carshalton Athletic Saturday 05th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Sept. 5, 2026 6 days, 10 hours from now VS

Chertsey Town Carshalton Athletic

Chertsey Town W W D W W D

Carshalton Athletic D L L W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	Westfield (Surrey)	4 - 2	Win
Jul 28, 26	Home	Chesham United	2 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Hampton & Richmond	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 21, 26	Home	Wealdstone	2 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Egham Town	1 - 4	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Ashford Town (Middlesex)	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Dover	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Hanworth Villa	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Hampton & Richmond	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Bromley	4 - 0	Win
Sep 2, 25	Away	Wingate & Finchley	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 30, 25	Home	Wingate & Finchley	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction indicates that Chertsey Town has a 47.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.43 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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