EFL Trophy
Match Analysis
Chesterfield
Manchester City U21
Chesterfield
L
W
L
L
D
L
Manchester City U21
W
L
L
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | Manchester City U21 | 1 - 1 | August 20, 2024 |
| Chesterfield | Manchester City U21 | 2 - 2 | November 29, 2017 |
Chesterfield Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Rotherham | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Salford City | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Fleetwood Town | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Scunthorpe | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | FC Halifax Town | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Manchester City U21 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Mansfield Town | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Oct 28, 25 | Away | Rotherham | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 23, 25 | Away | Bolton | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 25 | Away | Oldham | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 26, 25 | Away | Buxton | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 25 | Away | Lommel United | 1 - 2 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.29% likelihood that both Chesterfield and Manchester City U21 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Chesterfield to win
This prediction indicates that Chesterfield has a 48.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.26 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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