Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
Chicago Fire
W
D
D
W
W
L
Charlotte
W
W
L
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | Charlotte | 3 - 2 | June 29, 2025 |
| Charlotte | Chicago Fire | 1 - 4 | May 17, 2025 |
| Charlotte | Chicago Fire | 4 - 3 | October 2, 2024 |
| Chicago Fire | Charlotte | 0 - 1 | May 16, 2024 |
| Chicago Fire | Charlotte | 0 - 2 | October 8, 2023 |
| Charlotte | Chicago Fire | 2 - 1 | May 17, 2023 |
Chicago Fire Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | New York RB II | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Away | Huntsville City | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Chattanooga | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | New England II | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Fort Lauderdale CF | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Atlanta United II | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Charlotte Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Home | New England Revolution | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Toronto FC | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Home | New York City FC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | FC Cincinnati | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Away | New England Revolution | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Nashville SC | 4 - 2 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 16 | +11 | 26 |
| 14 | Charlotte | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23 | +1 | 21 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.69% likelihood that both Chicago Fire and Charlotte will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Chicago Fire to win
This prediction indicates that Chicago Fire has a 51.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.20 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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