Primera A
Match Analysis
Chico
Atletico Nacional
Chico
L
D
W
D
W
L
Atletico Nacional
W
L
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | Chico | 4 - 0 | January 17, 2026 |
| Chico | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 1 | October 6, 2025 |
| Atletico Nacional | Chico | 4 - 1 | April 16, 2025 |
| Atletico Nacional | Chico | 6 - 2 | September 29, 2024 |
| Chico | Atletico Nacional | 2 - 1 | March 17, 2024 |
| Chico | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 3 | October 22, 2023 |
Chico Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 26 | Home | Llaneros | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Millonarios | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Depor FC | 4 - 0 | Win |
| May 7, 26 | Away | Patriotas | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Llaneros | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 27, 26 | Away | La Equidad | 4 - 0 | Loss |
Atletico Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 26 | Home | Junior | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 3, 26 | Away | Junior | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Deportes Tolima | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 12, 26 | Home | La Equidad | 7 - 1 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Away | La Equidad | 1 - 2 | Win |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 24 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 48 | 21 | +27 | 52 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Atletico Nacional to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Nacional has a 61.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.93 %Most Likely Scorelines
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