Primera A
Match Analysis
Chico
Atletico Nacional
Chico
D
L
L
L
L
D
Atletico Nacional
W
L
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | Chico | 4 - 0 | January 17, 2026 |
| Chico | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 1 | October 6, 2025 |
| Atletico Nacional | Chico | 4 - 1 | April 16, 2025 |
| Atletico Nacional | Chico | 6 - 2 | September 29, 2024 |
| Chico | Atletico Nacional | 2 - 1 | March 17, 2024 |
| Chico | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 3 | October 22, 2023 |
Chico Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Fortaleza FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Jaguares | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Santa Fe | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | America de Cali | 7 - 0 | Loss |
| May 27, 26 | Home | Llaneros | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Millonarios | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Atletico Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | America de Cali | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Jaguares | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Tigres FC | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Tigres FC | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Deportivo Tachira FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 28 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 54 | 23 | +31 | 61 |
| 19 | Chico | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 42 | -27 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.2% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Atletico Nacional to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Nacional has a 65.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.52 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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