Premier League
Match Analysis
Chornomorets
Polessya
Chornomorets
L
W
W
L
W
L
Polessya
L
D
L
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Chornomorets has been the stronger side in meetings between these two teams, often leading to games full of goals. However, the model sees Polessya as the better team on paper overall, despite their recent struggles. The model predicts a 57% chance that Polessya will win, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects over 1.5 goals to be scored, aligning with the recent trend of high-scoring games between these sides, and also leans toward an over on goals, though it sees the match as likely to stay under 2.5 goals overall.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya | Chornomorets | 3 - 1 | March 6, 2025 |
| Chornomorets | Polessya | 1 - 4 | August 31, 2024 |
| Polessya | Chornomorets | 1 - 4 | March 30, 2024 |
| Chornomorets | Polessya | 1 - 0 | September 16, 2023 |
Chornomorets Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Nyva Vinnytsya | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Inhulets | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Oleksandria | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Kryvbas KR | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 16, 25 | Away | Obolon'-Brovar | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Polessya Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | FC Copenhagen | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | FC Copenhagen | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Shimizu S-pulse | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Plzen | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | WSG Wattens | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 9, 26 | Away | Jagiellonia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Polessya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Chornomorets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Polessya to win
This prediction indicates that Polessya has a 56.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.09 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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