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Serie C - Girone A

Sept. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Cittadella Lumezzane
Cittadella W W L D W D
Lumezzane L D L D W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cittadella Lumezzane 1 - 0 May 6, 2026
Lumezzane Cittadella 1 - 2 February 7, 2026
Cittadella Lumezzane 0 - 1 September 25, 2025

Cittadella Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Pergolettese 2 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Luparense 1 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Padova 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 29, 26 Away Cremonese 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Torino 0 - 1 Win
May 13, 26 Away Ravenna 1 - 1 Draw

Lumezzane Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Ospitaletto 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Cremonese 0 - 0 Draw
May 6, 26 Away Cittadella 1 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Alcione 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Virtus Verona 4 - 1 Win
Apr 19, 26 Away Lecco 2 - 2 Draw

Serie C - Girone A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Lumezzane 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 Cittadella 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.31% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Cittadella to win
This prediction indicates that Cittadella has a 44.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.80 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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