Serie C - Girone A logo

Serie C - Girone A

Aug. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Cittadella Pergolettese
Cittadella W L D W D D
Pergolettese W D D L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cittadella Pergolettese 3 - 3 January 17, 2026
Pergolettese Cittadella 3 - 1 September 6, 2025

Cittadella Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Luparense 1 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Padova 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 29, 26 Away Cremonese 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Torino 0 - 1 Win
May 13, 26 Away Ravenna 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Ravenna 2 - 2 Draw

Pergolettese Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Apr 25, 26 Home Lecco 3 - 0 Win
Apr 19, 26 Away Vicenza Virtus 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 11, 26 Home Virtus Verona 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 6, 26 Away Albinoleffe 3 - 0 Loss
Mar 28, 26 Home Pro Patria 2 - 1 Win
Mar 21, 26 Away Giana Erminio 2 - 0 Loss

Serie C - Girone A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Pergolettese None None None None None None None None
None Cittadella None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Cittadella to win
This prediction indicates that Cittadella has a 45.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.34 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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