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Primera Nacional

June 13, 2026 2 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ciudad de Bolívar Deportivo Moron
Ciudad de Bolívar D D W W W L
Deportivo Moron W W W L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ciudad de Bolívar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Away Colon Santa Fe 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Home San Miguel 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away San Telmo 0 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Home Acassuso 1 - 0 Win
May 10, 26 Away Chaco For Ever 0 - 1 Win
May 3, 26 Home Ferro Carril Oeste 2 - 4 Loss

Deportivo Moron Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Almirante Brown 1 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Atletico Mitre 1 - 3 Win
May 24, 26 Home CA Estudiantes 2 - 0 Win
May 18, 26 Away All Boys 1 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Los Andes 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Away Godoy Cruz 2 - 2 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Deportivo Moron 16 9 4 3 24 13 +11 31
4 Ciudad de Bolívar 16 6 9 1 13 8 +5 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 65.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Deportivo Moron to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Moron has a 37.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.49 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 74.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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