Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Ciudad de Bolívar
Racing Cordoba
Ciudad de Bolívar
L
L
L
W
D
L
Racing Cordoba
D
W
L
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
There is little clear quality gap between Ciudad de Bolívar and Racing Cordoba, with the two sides generally seen as closely matched. However, Ciudad de Bolívar have been in poor recent form while Racing Cordoba arrive in only moderate form, and the sides have similar rest ahead of the match. The model predicts a home win with a 37% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply. The model also flags the 'under 2.5 goals' outcome as a sure tip, showing stronger confidence than the market in a lower-scoring game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Cordoba | Ciudad de Bolívar | 0 - 2 | April 5, 2026 |
Ciudad de Bolívar Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Agropecuario | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Almirante Brown | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Atletico Mitre | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | CA Estudiantes | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | All Boys | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Los Andes | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Racing Cordoba Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | San Martin S.J. | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | San Miguel | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Almirante Brown | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | San Telmo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Atletico Mitre | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Acassuso | 3 - 2 | Win |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 34 |
| 22 | Racing Cordoba | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 31 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.28% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Ciudad de Bolívar to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ciudad de Bolívar has a 36.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.26 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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Odds Comparison
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