Columbus Crew vs New York City FC Thursday 23rd July 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

Columbus Crew New York City FC

Columbus Crew W D L L L W

New York City FC L D W W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
New York City FC	Columbus Crew	3 - 0	May 10, 2026
New York City FC	Columbus Crew	3 - 2	September 17, 2025
Columbus Crew	New York City FC	0 - 0	March 22, 2025
Columbus Crew	New York City FC	4 - 2	August 31, 2024
New York City FC	Columbus Crew	2 - 3	June 14, 2024
Columbus Crew	New York City FC	1 - 1	July 8, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Atlanta United FC	2 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Philadelphia Union	1 - 1	Draw
May 13, 26	Away	New York Red Bulls	3 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	New York City FC	3 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Minnesota United FC	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Philadelphia Union	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Nashville SC	2 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	New York Red Bulls	1 - 1	Draw
May 13, 26	Away	Charlotte	0 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Columbus Crew	3 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Home	DC United	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	CF Montreal	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
17	New York City FC	15	5	4	6	25	21	+4	19
21	Columbus Crew	15	4	4	7	21	23	-2	16

This prediction indicates that Columbus Crew has a 44.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.92 %

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