Primera División
Match Analysis
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
L
D
L
D
L
W
Alianza Lima
D
W
W
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Lima | Comerciantes Unidos | 2 - 1 | February 8, 2026 |
| Alianza Lima | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 - 0 | September 22, 2025 |
| Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Lima | 0 - 1 | June 19, 2025 |
| Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Lima | 1 - 3 | August 3, 2024 |
| Alianza Lima | Comerciantes Unidos | 5 - 1 | February 25, 2024 |
| Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Lima | 1 - 0 | October 4, 2018 |
Comerciantes Unidos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Away | Sport Boys | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 25, 26 | Home | Deportivo Garcilaso | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | ADT | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | FBC Melgar | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Cienciano | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Sporting Cristal | 1 - 0 | Win |
Alianza Lima Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Away | FC Cajamarca | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Cultural Santa Rosa | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Cienciano | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Sporting Cristal | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 3, 26 | Home | UCV Moquegua | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Atletico Grau | 0 - 1 | Win |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 7 | +22 | 39 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.59% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Alianza Lima to win
This prediction indicates that Alianza Lima has a 57.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.32 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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