Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos Saturday 05th September 2026 03:45 PM football predictions.

National 1

Concarneau

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Thionville Lusitanos

Match Analysis

Concarneau Thionville Lusitanos

Concarneau W D L W W W

Thionville Lusitanos W W W D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Concarneau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 20, 26	Home	Villefranche	2 - 0	Win
Aug 14, 26	Away	Quevilly	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 7, 26	Home	Orleans	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Home	Pontivy GSI	5 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Laval	1 - 2	Win
Jul 22, 26	Away	Guingamp	0 - 1	Win

Thionville Lusitanos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 20, 26	Away	Bourg-en-bresse 01	0 - 2	Win
Aug 14, 26	Home	Caen	4 - 3	Win
Aug 7, 26	Away	Aubagne	0 - 3	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Nancy	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Progres Niederkorn	0 - 5	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	RM Hamm Benfica	0 - 4	Win

National 1 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Thionville Lusitanos	2	2	0	0	7	3	+4	6
17	Concarneau	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.15% likelihood that both Concarneau and Thionville Lusitanos will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Thionville Lusitanos to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Thionville Lusitanos has a 36.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.93 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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