Primera División
Match Analysis
Concepción
A. Italiano
Concepción
W
W
W
L
W
L
A. Italiano
D
D
W
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Italiano | Concepción | 3 - 0 | March 13, 2026 |
Concepción Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Cobresal | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Universidad de Concepcion | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | U. Catolica | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | O'Higgins | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Deportes Limache | 3 - 2 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Universidad de Chile | 2 - 1 | Loss |
A. Italiano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Everton de Vina | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Nublense | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Universidad de Concepcion | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Universidad de Chile | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | D. La Serena | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 1, 26 | Away | Palestino | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Concepción | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 26 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 21 |
Predictions
Concepción to win
This prediction indicates that Concepción has a 41.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.11 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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