Cork City vs Kerry Friday 07th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Cork City Kerry

Cork City L L W W W W

Kerry D L W W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kerry	Cork City	1 - 0	May 4, 2026
Cork City	Kerry	4 - 2	April 6, 2026
Cork City	Kerry	4 - 1	February 4, 2026
Kerry	Cork City	1 - 4	September 13, 2024
Cork City	Kerry	2 - 0	July 26, 2024
Kerry	Cork City	0 - 1	May 3, 2024

Cork City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	Cardiff	1 - 6	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Home	Longford Town	3 - 4	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	0 - 1	Win
Jun 26, 26	Home	Bray Wanderers	2 - 0	Win
Jun 19, 26	Home	Treaty United	4 - 0	Win
Jun 12, 26	Away	Wexford	0 - 2	Win

Kerry Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Wexford	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Treaty United	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Longford Town	2 - 1	Win
Jun 19, 26	Away	UCD	0 - 1	Win
Jun 12, 26	Home	Athlone Town	1 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	2 - 0	Loss

First Division Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cork City	22	17	3	2	43	11	+32	54
7	Kerry	22	6	7	9	22	27	-5	25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.68% likelihood that both Cork City and Kerry will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Cork City to win

This prediction indicates that Cork City has a 69.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.04 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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