CRB vs Vila Nova Tuesday 28th July 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

CRB Vila Nova

CRB D L W D D L

Vila Nova L W L W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Vila Nova	CRB	2 - 2	March 21, 2026
CRB	Vila Nova	2 - 0	November 15, 2025
Vila Nova	CRB	2 - 0	July 23, 2025
Vila Nova	CRB	1 - 0	September 4, 2024
CRB	Vila Nova	1 - 0	May 17, 2024
Vila Nova	CRB	0 - 1	September 3, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Home	Goias	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Londrina	5 - 0	Loss
Jun 30, 26	Away	Botafogo SP	0 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	Fortaleza EC	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Away	Atletico Goianiense	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Home	São Bernardo	2 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Juventude	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 6, 26	Home	São Bernardo	2 - 1	Win
Jun 26, 26	Away	Novorizontino	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Nautico Recife	4 - 3	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Cuiaba	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 8, 26	Home	Botafogo SP	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Vila Nova	17	9	4	4	25	19	+6	31
15	CRB	16	5	4	7	24	29	-5	19

This prediction indicates that CRB has a 45.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.32 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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