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Serie C - Girone C

Sept. 15, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Crotone Inter U23
Crotone L L D D L W
Inter U23 D W D W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Crotone Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Sorrento 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 24, 26 Home Foggia 0 - 1 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Casertana 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Audace Cerignola 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home Latina 2 - 5 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Away Casarano 1 - 2 Win

Inter U23 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Team Altamura 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Away Catania 1 - 2 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Pergolettese 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Away Albinoleffe 1 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Novara 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Union Brescia 0 - 1 Loss

Serie C - Girone C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Inter U23 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
18 Crotone 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Crotone to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Crotone has a 42.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.34 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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