CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa Sunday 16th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

CSKA Sofia Botev Vratsa

CSKA Sofia D W D D W W

Botev Vratsa L D W D W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
CSKA Sofia	Botev Vratsa	1 - 0	March 4, 2026
Botev Vratsa	CSKA Sofia	1 - 1	September 22, 2025
Botev Vratsa	CSKA Sofia	1 - 1	April 5, 2025
CSKA Sofia	Botev Vratsa	2 - 0	October 24, 2024
CSKA Sofia	Botev Vratsa	3 - 0	February 18, 2024
Botev Vratsa	CSKA Sofia	0 - 2	August 19, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Home	Qarabag	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 27, 26	Home	Botev Plovdiv	3 - 2	Win
Jul 23, 26	Away	Qarabag	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 20, 26	Away	Slavia Sofia	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 16, 26	Away	Derry City	1 - 2	Win
Jul 9, 26	Home	Derry City	3 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	CSKA 1948	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Home	Cherno More Varna	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Home	Arda Kardzhali	1 - 0	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	Beitar Jerusalem	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 1, 26	Home	Spartak Pleven	2 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Levski Sofia	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	CSKA Sofia	2	1	1	0	3	2	+1	4
11	Botev Vratsa	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.53% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that CSKA Sofia has a 67.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.85 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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