CSKA Sofia vs Derry City Thursday 09th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

CSKA Sofia Derry City

CSKA Sofia L W L L D W

Derry City W D L W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 24, 26	Home	Polessya	0 - 4	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Brinje-Grosuplje	1 - 2	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Ludogorets	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Levski Sofia	2 - 0	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	CSKA 1948	1 - 1	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	CSKA 1948	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	Drogheda United	2 - 0	Win
Jun 22, 26	Away	Shamrock Rovers	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 19, 26	Away	Galway United	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	Bohemians	4 - 1	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Dundalk	2 - 1	Loss
May 25, 26	Home	Shelbourne	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Derry City	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	CSKA Sofia	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.74% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that CSKA Sofia will score 0 goals, and Derry City will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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