Cultural Santa Rosa vs FBC Melgar Saturday 15th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Cultural Santa Rosa FBC Melgar

Cultural Santa Rosa W L W D L W

FBC Melgar W W D D W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FBC Melgar	Cultural Santa Rosa	1 - 2	February 27, 2026
FBC Melgar	Cultural Santa Rosa	6 - 1	September 21, 2025
Cultural Santa Rosa	FBC Melgar	1 - 1	April 27, 2025
FBC Melgar	Cultural Santa Rosa	2 - 0	September 15, 2024
Cultural Santa Rosa	FBC Melgar	2 - 2	April 6, 2024

Cultural Santa Rosa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	Comerciantes Unidos	3 - 2	Win
Jul 24, 26	Away	Alianza Atletico	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Home	Sport Boys	1 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Home	UTC	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Alianza Lima	3 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	UCV Moquegua	1 - 0	Win

FBC Melgar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Sporting Cristal	2 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Cienciano	1 - 3	Win
Jun 18, 26	Away	LDU de Quito	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 17, 26	Away	LDU de Quito	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Alianza Atletico	3 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Juan Pablo II College	1 - 1	Draw

Primera División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Cultural Santa Rosa	19	11	4	4	27	24	+3	37
4	FBC Melgar	19	10	4	5	34	22	+12	34

Predictions

FBC Melgar to win

This prediction indicates that FBC Melgar has a 41.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.36 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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