Cumbayá vs Vargas Torres Wednesday 12th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
Liga Pro Serie B logo

Liga Pro Serie B
Cumbayá logo Cumbayá
Aug. 13, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
3 – 3
Full Time
Vargas Torres logo Vargas Torres

Match Analysis

Cumbayá Vargas Torres
Cumbayá D D D D W W
Vargas Torres W D L L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The two sides are closely matched in overall quality, but Cumbayá have moderate recent form while Vargas Torres have struggled recently. Despite Vargas Torres having a rest advantage, the model predicts a draw with a 37% probability, which is similar to what the market odds imply. The model also sees the match as likely to stay under 2.5 goals, giving this outcome a 29% chance and being notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Recent meetings between the teams have been goal-filled, but the current form and quality factors point toward a tighter contest.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Vargas Torres Cumbayá 0 - 0 May 23, 2026
Vargas Torres Cumbayá 4 - 1 October 30, 2025
Cumbayá Vargas Torres 1 - 1 August 26, 2025
Cumbayá Vargas Torres 2 - 1 July 22, 2025
Vargas Torres Cumbayá 4 - 0 May 14, 2025

Cumbayá Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away LDU Portoviejo 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 30, 26 Home Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Away San Antonio 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 16, 26 Home 9 de Octubre 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 8, 26 Away El Nacional 0 - 1 Win
Jul 2, 26 Home 22 de Julio 4 - 0 Win

Vargas Torres Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 6, 26 Away Atletico FC 0 - 1 Win
Jul 30, 26 Home 9 de Octubre 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away LDU Portoviejo 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away San Antonio 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 3, 26 Home Ind. Juniors 1 - 0 Win

Liga Pro Serie B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Vargas Torres 20 6 8 6 14 13 +1 26
8 Cumbayá 20 5 10 5 19 16 +3 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.56% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Cumbayá will score 0 goals, and Vargas Torres will score 0 goals in the football match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Top Picks
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Odds Comparison
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Liga Pro Serie B

9 de Octubre vs Ind. Juniors 13 hours from now · 9 p.m. › LDU Portoviejo vs Santo Domingo 7 hours ago · 12:30 a.m. › El Nacional vs 22 de Julio 4 hours ago · 3 a.m. ›