La Liga
Match Analysis
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
W
W
W
W
W
D
Rayo Vallecano
D
L
L
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | 2 - 1 | February 1, 2026 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Real Madrid | 0 - 0 | November 9, 2025 |
| Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | 2 - 1 | March 9, 2025 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Real Madrid | 3 - 3 | December 14, 2024 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Real Madrid | 1 - 1 | February 18, 2024 |
| Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | 0 - 0 | November 5, 2023 |
Real Madrid Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Real Sociedad | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Espanyol | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | FC Schalke 04 | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Deportivo La Coruna | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Ferencvarosi TC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Fiorentina | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Rayo Vallecano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Alaves | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Sevilla | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Ipswich | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Charleroi | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Feyenoord | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 - 1 | Loss |
La Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.16% likelihood that both Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Real Madrid to win
This prediction indicates that Real Madrid has a 72.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.66 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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