D. Puerto Montt vs Antofagasta Sunday 26th July 2026 07:30 PM football predictions.

D. Puerto Montt Antofagasta

D. Puerto Montt D L L L W W

Antofagasta D L D D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Antofagasta	D. Puerto Montt	1 - 2	March 1, 2026
Antofagasta	D. Puerto Montt	1 - 1	October 1, 2023
D. Puerto Montt	Antofagasta	1 - 4	May 21, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Cobreloa	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Union San Felipe	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	San Marcos de Arica	0 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	San Luis	4 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Magallanes	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Rangers de Talca	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Magallanes	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 1, 26	Away	Curico Unido	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Deportes Santa Cruz	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	San Marcos de Arica	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	San Luis	3 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Cobreloa	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Antofagasta	15	6	5	4	22	16	+6	23
7	D. Puerto Montt	15	7	2	6	17	16	+1	23

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.2% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Antofagasta has a 36.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.65 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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