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Victoria NPL logo

Victoria NPL

July 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Dandenong Thunder Altona Magic
Dandenong Thunder L L L L L L
Altona Magic W L W L W L
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Altona Magic Dandenong Thunder 2 - 4 April 18, 2026
Dandenong Thunder Altona Magic 6 - 0 June 7, 2025
Altona Magic Dandenong Thunder 0 - 1 March 1, 2025
Dandenong Thunder Altona Magic 0 - 4 June 8, 2024
Altona Magic Dandenong Thunder 2 - 3 March 2, 2024
Dandenong Thunder Altona Magic 0 - 3 July 1, 2023

Dandenong Thunder Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 5, 26 Away South Melbourne 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Hume City 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Away Avondale 11 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Sunshine Georgies 2 - 3 Loss
May 29, 26 Away Heidelberg United 4 - 2 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Melbourne City II 2 - 0 Loss

Altona Magic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Away Green Gully 1 - 3 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home Melbourne City II 0 - 3 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Away Bentleigh Greens 0 - 1 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away St. Albans Saints 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Away South Melbourne 2 - 3 Win
May 30, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 0 - 2 Loss

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Altona Magic 19 5 4 10 21 35 -14 19
13 Dandenong Thunder 19 3 3 13 20 42 -22 12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.43% likelihood that both Dandenong Thunder and Altona Magic will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Altona Magic to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Altona Magic has a 36.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.17 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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