DC United vs Ethiopia Sunday 12th July 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

DC United Ethiopia

DC United D D L D W W

Ethiopia D W W W L W

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	CF Montreal	4 - 4	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	St. Louis City	1 - 1	Draw
May 13, 26	Home	Chicago Fire	1 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Nashville SC	2 - 2	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	New York City FC	0 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Orlando City SC	3 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Home	Malawi	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Home	Malawi	1 - 0	Win
Mar 31, 26	Home	Sao Tome and Principe	1 - 0	Win
Mar 27, 26	Away	Sao Tome and Principe	0 - 3	Win
Oct 12, 25	Away	Burkina Faso	3 - 1	Loss
Oct 8, 25	Home	Guinea-Bissau	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
127	Ethiopia	2	1	1	0	2	1	+1	4
292	DC United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction indicates that DC United has a 34.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.75 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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