Primera A
Match Analysis
Deportes Tolima
Bucaramanga
Deportes Tolima
L
W
L
W
W
D
Bucaramanga
D
D
W
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 0 | February 11, 2026 |
| Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 0 | December 4, 2025 |
| Deportes Tolima | Bucaramanga | 0 - 0 | November 23, 2025 |
| Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima | 2 - 0 | September 19, 2025 |
| Deportes Tolima | Bucaramanga | 2 - 1 | April 6, 2025 |
| Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 2 | September 1, 2024 |
Deportes Tolima Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Quindio | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Junior | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Quindio | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Universitario | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Bucaramanga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Cucuta | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Llaneros | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Millonarios | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Alianza Petrolera | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 21, 26 | Home | Popayan | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 11, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cali | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 26 | +11 | 43 |
| 14 | Bucaramanga | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Deportes Tolima to win
This prediction indicates that Deportes Tolima has a 53.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.59 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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