Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Deportivo Madryn
Central Norte
Deportivo Madryn
W
L
W
W
D
W
Central Norte
D
D
D
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Norte | Deportivo Madryn | 2 - 3 | May 10, 2026 |
Deportivo Madryn Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Ciudad de Bolívar | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Almirante Brown | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Godoy Cruz | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Atletico Mitre | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | San Martin Tucuman | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | CA Estudiantes | 0 - 1 | Win |
Central Norte Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Ciudad de Bolívar | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Almirante Brown | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Atletico Mitre | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Deportivo Moron | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | CA Estudiantes | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Deportivo Madryn | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41 | 26 | +15 | 46 |
| 30 | Central Norte | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 30 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.19% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Deportivo Madryn to win
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Madryn has a 60.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.55 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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