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Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu logo Deportivo Maipu
Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Quilmes logo Quilmes

Match Analysis

Deportivo Maipu Quilmes
Deportivo Maipu W L D W W D
Quilmes W D L L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Quilmes Deportivo Maipu 2 - 1 April 5, 2026
Quilmes Deportivo Maipu 2 - 2 June 21, 2025
Deportivo Maipu Quilmes 2 - 0 February 16, 2025
Quilmes Deportivo Maipu 3 - 0 October 13, 2024
Deportivo Maipu Quilmes 1 - 1 May 26, 2024
Deportivo Maipu Quilmes 1 - 0 August 27, 2023

Deportivo Maipu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Home Atlanta 4 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home San Martin Tucuman 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Away Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 3 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home Agropecuario 2 - 0 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 0 - 0 Draw

Quilmes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 5, 26 Home Gimnasia Jujuy 2 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Patronato 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Home Colegiales 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away Midland 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Atlanta 2 - 1 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Colegiales 3 - 1 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
14 Deportivo Maipu 23 9 5 9 31 24 +7 32
26 Quilmes 22 6 7 9 21 20 +1 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.72% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Deportivo Maipu to win
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Maipu has a 43.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.51 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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