Primera B Metropolitana
Match Analysis
Deportivo Merlo
Real Pilar
Deportivo Merlo
D
L
L
L
D
L
Real Pilar
W
D
D
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Pilar | Deportivo Merlo | 1 - 3 | March 4, 2026 |
| Real Pilar | Deportivo Merlo | 0 - 0 | October 4, 2025 |
| Deportivo Merlo | Real Pilar | 1 - 0 | May 18, 2025 |
| Deportivo Merlo | Real Pilar | 0 - 1 | December 19, 2020 |
| Real Pilar | Deportivo Merlo | 2 - 0 | November 17, 2019 |
Deportivo Merlo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | UAI Urquiza | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Villa Dalmine | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Excursionistas | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Arsenal Sarandi | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Argentino de Merlo | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 5, 26 | Away | Talleres Remedios | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Real Pilar Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Deportivo Camioneros | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Sportivo Italiano | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | San Martín Burzaco | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Villa San Carlos | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Liniers | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 5, 26 | Away | Ituzaingó | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Primera B Metropolitana Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Pilar | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 25 | +2 | 37 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 32 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Real Pilar to win
This prediction indicates that Real Pilar has a 41.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.81 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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