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Primera B Metropolitana logo

Primera B Metropolitana

July 14, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Deportivo Merlo Real Pilar
Deportivo Merlo L L D L W D
Real Pilar D D W L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Real Pilar Deportivo Merlo 1 - 3 March 4, 2026
Real Pilar Deportivo Merlo 0 - 0 October 4, 2025
Deportivo Merlo Real Pilar 1 - 0 May 18, 2025
Deportivo Merlo Real Pilar 0 - 1 December 19, 2020
Real Pilar Deportivo Merlo 2 - 0 November 17, 2019

Deportivo Merlo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Excursionistas 5 - 0 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away Arsenal Sarandi 4 - 2 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Argentino de Merlo 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 5, 26 Away Talleres Remedios 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 2, 26 Home Deportivo Laferrere 2 - 1 Win
May 26, 26 Home Liniers 0 - 0 Draw

Real Pilar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home San Martín Burzaco 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Home Villa San Carlos 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Away Liniers 0 - 1 Win
Jun 5, 26 Away Ituzaingó 2 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Home UAI Urquiza 2 - 1 Win
May 26, 26 Away Dock Sud 2 - 0 Loss

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Real Pilar 22 9 6 7 24 23 +1 33
10 Deportivo Merlo 22 8 7 7 26 33 -7 31

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.49% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Merlo will score 0 goals, and Real Pilar will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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