Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas Saturday 19th September 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Primera A

Deportivo Pasto

Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Once Caldas

Match Analysis

Deportivo Pasto Once Caldas

Deportivo Pasto L D L L L L

Once Caldas W D D L D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Once Caldas	Deportivo Pasto	4 - 2	March 13, 2026
Once Caldas	Deportivo Pasto	1 - 0	November 9, 2025
Once Caldas	Deportivo Pasto	4 - 0	October 2, 2025
Deportivo Pasto	Once Caldas	1 - 2	August 29, 2025
Deportivo Pasto	Once Caldas	2 - 1	May 18, 2025
Once Caldas	Deportivo Pasto	2 - 1	October 14, 2024

Deportivo Pasto Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 31, 26	Home	Deportivo Pereira	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Away	La Equidad	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 23, 26	Home	Llaneros	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Home	Deportivo Cali	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 5, 26	Away	Millonarios	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	Rionegro Aguilas	1 - 2	Loss

Once Caldas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 2, 26	Away	Fortaleza FC	1 - 2	Win
Aug 24, 26	Away	Junior	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Away	Jaguares	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 6, 26	Home	America de Cali	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Away	Santa Fe	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 30, 26	Away	Envigado	0 - 3	Win

Primera A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Once Caldas	27	10	13	4	44	32	+12	43
11	Deportivo Pasto	28	10	5	13	34	41	-7	35

Predictions

Once Caldas to win

This prediction indicates that Once Caldas has a 44.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.01 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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