Derio vs Sestao River Saturday 29th August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Friendlies Clubs

Aug. 29, 2026 4 days, 9 hours from now VS

Derio Sestao River

Derio L

Sestao River D L L D L W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Home	Athletic Club	0 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 11, 26	Away	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 29, 26	Home	Athletic Club II	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Home	Athletic Club	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 9, 25	Away	Deusto	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 25	Home	Ponferradina	0 - 2	Loss
May 17, 25	Away	FC Andorra	1 - 2	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.85% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Derio has a 39.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.12 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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