Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Friday 07th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Derry City Sligo Rovers

Derry City L L L L W D

Sligo Rovers L L L D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sligo Rovers	Derry City	0 - 0	April 6, 2026
Derry City	Sligo Rovers	2 - 1	February 6, 2026
Sligo Rovers	Derry City	1 - 0	January 9, 2026
Derry City	Sligo Rovers	1 - 0	October 5, 2025
Sligo Rovers	Derry City	2 - 0	July 12, 2025
Derry City	Sligo Rovers	3 - 0	April 22, 2025

Derry City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 23, 26	Away	HNK Rijeka	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 16, 26	Home	CSKA Sofia	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Away	CSKA Sofia	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Home	Waterford	2 - 4	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Drogheda United	2 - 0	Win
Jun 22, 26	Away	Shamrock Rovers	1 - 1	Draw

Sligo Rovers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	Coleraine FC	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Galway United	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Home	Shamrock Rovers	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Shelbourne	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 19, 26	Away	St Patrick's Athl.	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Away	Waterford	4 - 0	Loss

Premier Division Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Derry City	25	6	11	8	32	31	+1	29
10	Sligo Rovers	23	5	5	13	18	37	-19	20

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.2% likelihood that both Derry City and Sligo Rovers will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Derry City to win

This prediction indicates that Derry City has a 58.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.65 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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