Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights Sunday 26th July 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Detroit City Las Vegas Lights

Detroit City W W D L D W

Las Vegas Lights L L W D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Las Vegas Lights	Detroit City	1 - 1	August 11, 2024
Detroit City	Las Vegas Lights	1 - 0	August 19, 2023
Las Vegas Lights	Detroit City	0 - 1	July 3, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	1 - 2	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Sporting JAX	2 - 6	Win
Jun 10, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Charleston Battery	2 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Loudoun United	0 - 0	Draw
May 21, 26	Home	Miami FC	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Orange County SC	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	FC Tulsa	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	New Mexico United	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Detroit City	14	7	3	4	21	14	+7	24
20	Las Vegas Lights	14	4	3	7	21	25	-4	15

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.18% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Detroit City has a 53.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.68 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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