Dorking Wanderers vs Southall Tuesday 22nd September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Dorking Wanderers

Sept. 22, 2026 16 hours from now VS

Southall

Match Analysis

Dorking Wanderers Southall

Dorking Wanderers D D D D W W

Southall D W L D W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Dorking Wanderers have a clear quality gap in their favor over Southall, positioning them as the stronger side heading into this FA Cup match. The model predicts a home win with a 53% probability, suggesting moderate confidence in Dorking Wanderers' chances despite both teams showing moderate recent form and similar rest. Additionally, the model sees a good chance that both teams will score and that there will be more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the game, indicating an expectation of an open, goal-oriented contest, though exact market odds aren't available to compare against these predictions.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Southall	Dorking Wanderers	2 - 2	September 20, 2026

Dorking Wanderers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Away	Southall	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Away	Torquay	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 8, 26	Home	Chelmsford City	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Away	Billericay Town	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 31, 26	Home	Truro City	1 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Walton & Hersham	1 - 4	Win

Southall Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Home	Dorking Wanderers	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Home	Cobham	2 - 1	Win
Aug 20, 25	Home	Erith Town	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 16, 25	Away	Erith Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 6, 25	Home	Little Common	3 - 0	Win
Aug 3, 25	Away	Little Common	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.76% likelihood that both Dorking Wanderers and Southall will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Dorking Wanderers to win

This prediction indicates that Dorking Wanderers has a 52.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.91 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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